Winter Watch Articles
RW: A bunch of these stories on X today. The Coreweave pump ended fast. Chat: This is potentially a much bigger development than the market [...]
Will Barack Obama’s Real Father Please Stand Up
October 19, 2026
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The ludicrous birther story of Barrack Obama being born in Kenya was finally dismissed by Donald Trump in 2016. The birther story was a decoy [...]
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France is Burning
October 18, 2026 4The coat of running a low trust society and too late to correct. Chaos is starting to spread to Italy. Late stage collapse behavior on an epic level. ChatGPT: The unrest in France and Italy [...] -
Robert Mapplethorpe: Promoting Cultural Degeneracy, Weaponizing Modern Art
October 17, 2026 25My first inadvertent glimpse of the depraved “art” of dick-pic photographer Robert Mapplethorpe (1946 – 1989, selfie) occurred while Googling images using the search term “Sausalito,” a quaint seaside community across the bay from San [...] -
Minsky Moment: Inside the Ai Bubble?
October 16, 2026 7Underlying video: ChatGpt– This is becoming a much more interesting Minsky story. What strikes me about this video isn’t the collapse in chip stocks. It’s the simultaneous deterioration in credit pricing, financing availability, and confidence [...] -
Fearsome Threesome: Fetzer, Hagopian and Winter
October 15, 2026 1Putin’s diesel deal with Trump embarrasses Zelensky even though it’s not going to solve our diesel problem. Trump claims Russia and Ukraine have reached “an energy cease fire”, but Zelensky says he’s never heard of [...] -
Follow-up on the Catastrophes
October 14, 2026 1Isaias alert: ILS estimate widens the credible insured-loss range 1. What changed Euler ILS Partners now estimates US$2–4 billion of industry insured losses, versus Cotality’s US$2–3 billion estimate and the roughly US$1 billion figure cited [...] -
The Minsky Moment Conversation About Housing
October 13, 2026 0UPDATE: As of this morning, 43.4% of all US homes for sale are now undergoing price cuts. This is the highest read all year, up an additional 70 basis points from this time last week. [...] -
Reaching GFC Levels of Delinquency
October 12, 2026 0I might as well starting sharing my ChatGpt notes: Note: BAA is very crowded trade. many of these masters of the universe types are playing it. This is potentially very bad news for ABS valuations, [...]
News Around the Web
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Anti-US and Zios Protests Spread to Japan
October 20, 2026 2 -
Who is Behind the Invasions of US and Europe
October 20, 2026 1 -
Albania Protests Escalate Over Kushner Land Deal and Corruption
October 19, 2026 1 -
Latest Cut and Paste Hasbara Threat is Posted
October 19, 2026 0 -
Big Brain Trump Campaigns in Red States Before Small Canned Looking Audiences
October 18, 2026 0 -
The New York City Restaurant Closure Crisis
October 18, 2026 3 -
October 17, 2026 0
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Two Big Brain Trump’s Unqualified Hacks Canned in One Day
October 17, 2026 2