This post is based on an analysis with Chat gpt.
Big Brain claims he made a massive diesel deal with Putin to save the day in the lead up to the Midterm elections. Whether his dwindling Magatard base can return to the fold with this stunt remains to be seen.
Before we go over the data, Big Brian already has an out as Ukraine has attacked a diesel transshipment terminal. Now he can blame the shortcomings on Zelensky.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukrainian drones set fire to a fuel export terminal in the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don late Friday. The strike came hours after Washington eased sanctions on Russian diesel and President Trump touted a deal with Vladimir Putin for Russia to supply millions of tons of diesel to “the American and Global Marketplace” starting immediately.
Footage shows a large blaze on the south bank of the Don River. OSINTtechnical geolocated the video to the Rostov branch of NZNP, an oil products terminal that ships fuel from the Novoshakhtinsk refinery.
It’s the latest in a week of Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s fuel industry, including the Salavat and Omsk refineries. Russia has banned its own diesel exports since July because of the damage.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called the deal “not fair and not honest,” telling Axios it was “a happy birthday present for Putin” that “shows weakness of the world.”
— Drop Site (@DropSiteNews) October 10, 2026
Now as far the “deal” itself.
The IEA reports that Russian refinery throughput fell roughly 30% year over year through June. S&P Global estimates nearly half of refining capacity is now offline.
The initial shipment is plausible but modest. The announced 300,000 tonnes equal about 1 1/2 days of the U.S’s current diesel exports.- So very marginal relief.
Trump announced 500,000 tonnes in November, another million in December and an additional 3 million tonnes conditional on refinery conditions and repairs. In otherwords no more Ukrainian sabotage plus expedite repair, both highly unlikely. Effectively Putin is leveraging Trump to call off the dogs if he expects performance.
The terms also call for delivery to the “American and global marketplace”, which could mean about anywhere.
Chat’s assessment: Lifting sanctions does not repair refineries or keep Ukraine from attacking them. Russia must also get the fuel on ships,
Conclusion; This gambit, like so much else Trump instigates, insdead on arrival.
300k tons is actually, HALF US DAILY CONSUMPTION😂😂😂 Pure optics and Yiddish spin.