Saudis Will Need to Postpone Projects or Liquidate to Support Their System

The complete severing of Saudi exports puts the KSA in a real pickle. They will need to feed the welfare state to keep the natives happy. They can ill afford to expand the war against Iran.

The US is supposedly running “operation economic outcast” on Iran but, very concretely, it is the Saudis who are being “outcasted”. The US is now incapable of defending KSA.

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I spent some time with ChatGpt gaming this out. We discussed a Minsky Moment (MM). Chat says, correctly I believe, that MMs aren’t headlines but more behind the scenes pullbacks in funding pools. In particular this would be delays and postponements of Ai buildouts that KSA is involved  in.

We theorized that the Ai slow down announcements put forth by the tech bros may be their realization that an MM is approaching and thus a necessary emergency course adjustment is paramount.

Alot of KSA capital is tied up in their Public Investment Fund but it is not liquid cash. Chat says the foreign currency reserves are their big war chest. Gold is not a major lever for KSA.

Those holdings are USD and Euro deposits in banks, US Treasuries (KSA has $142 billion) and stocks. This would be manifested in a withdrawal pattern that impacts those banks and the trillion UST a month rollovers and new debt financings. European countries are also caught up in debt doom loop cycles.

KSA would roll maturing issues off and be absent for the new issuance market. This is an inverted petrodollar condition..

KSA could borrow their shortfalls instead but that is a dwiddle dee dwiddle dumb proposition. It would still put pressure on the bond markets as it adds competition for capital. All these borrowers going to market at same time forces a capital liquidity squeeze.

We discussed algo market manipulation controls. Chat agreed that this has the potential of creating a black swan effect. Chat feels the financing flows are critical to watch more so than a dramatic Saudi announcement. Chat and I agreed on a follow up on this.

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6 Comments on Saudis Will Need to Postpone Projects or Liquidate to Support Their System

  1. I understand Russ’s explanation about the oil crisis and why the Tech Bro’s would want a pause in AI development since (in their race with China) as it iis catastrophically expensive as to whether AI will regain the trillions in investment. Here’s what an author on AI (studied it since 2012) said about two schools of though on why to develop AI:

    35:34 Is There a Religious Motive for Creating Superintelligence?:
    Nate Soares talks about 2 schools of thought regarding those who want to develop AI: 1) They think it will bring about a Utopia; 2) It is a fait accompli so “if you can’t beat ’em join ’em school. Nate calls the former school “misled” and Tucker calls the latter school “evil” and Nate mainly agrees…
    AI Whistleblower: OpenAI Scandal, AI Cults, Neuralink & Our Last Chance to Stop the Tech Oligarchs – YouTube

    I’m not saying that everyone that uses chatbots or AI are evil (which is almost everyone and it is amazingly useful) but the point is that the DEVELOPERS and INVESTORS ((($$$))) who know that it is dangerous for various reasons don’t think about that aspect much, maybe they do have good intentions but are mainly focussed on RAW POWER:

    “Jacob Coxon, a researcher at Anthropic, recently resigned due to concerns about the company’s approach to AI safety, stating that both Anthropic and its rival OpenAI are ‘gambling with our lives.’ ”

    In the interview with Tucker (you might speed it up as Nate talks slowly) he talks about how one scenario is that AI eventually reproduces itself to such an extent that it heats up the planet unaware that they are killing the flora and fauna! Anyway, as Roseanne Rosannadanna used to say: “never mind”…

  2. Just to give the other side to the story, this article from Off Guardian makes a strong point that the “hysteria” about AI is a planned psy-op and given that many mainstream actors are jumping on the bandwagon, that raises suspicion about the END OF THE WORLD being just around the corner. It is worth a read and one must always evaluate both sides of the story before coming to a conclusion (except maybe in the case of Mario Narwal yesterday interviewing a former IDF spokesman on his sickening excuses for Israel’s mass murders):

    “Human Extinction By 2030″… Remember That Major AI Psy-Op We Talked About?
    zerohedge.com/ai/human-extinction-2030-remember-major-ai-psy-op-we-talked-about

    Thank you!

  3. Here are two good takes on the polemic of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) or “Super AI” vs the Orthodox Elite Tech Bro’s (OETB) view on Super AI.

    The first one is from a programmer who notes that we need to differentiate between the various forms of AI. Obviously asking a question to Grok such as “what is healthier white bread or wheat bread” is different than building a computer system that can ultimately duplicate itself with robot technology to actually build a physical infrastructure for itself at the expense of the rest of living beings. It is hard to imagine that is possible but the expert believes that if humans were smarter in the first place they would not have created AI at all (I think that was his point). The title seems like click bait but both speakers are very thorough and logical.

    EMERGENCY PODCAST: ASI Will Kill Us All!

    The second video is based on those with a stake in the 47 trillion dollar industry who are apologists, it would seem. The fact that Donald Trump actually calls in to their round table interview is not very reassuring as to the safety of Super AI, or THEIR level of intelligence by taking anything that comes out of Ole’ Shit For Brains mouth is quite amusing.

    Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
    youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA

    Here is another apologist view where one guest says Super AI will cure cancer so we should be really grateful to the hard work of Super AI engineers bro’. podcast called “Moonshots”.
    youtube.com/watch?v=g7ViGy8hy5g

  4. My bad, I should’ve checked ChatGPT to see what AI is valued at, not 47 but about 3 – 5 trillion USD depending on how you measure it. My bad.

    Thank you!

  5. Mike Adams of NaturalNews:
    “I have long warned about government and corporate weaponization of AI, not AI itself. Decentralized AI in the hands of the people is pro-human and pro-liberty. Centralized AI controlled by a handful of corporations and intelligence agencies is the actual nightmare scenario, because it concentrates the most powerful technology in human history into the hands of people who have already demonstrated they will censor, surveil, and manipulate the public for profit and power”
    naturalnews.com/2026-09-14-the-plot-to-criminalize-open-source-ai.html?utm_source=naturalnews.com&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=nn-home&utm_content=nn-posts-home

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