Big Brain Trump Hankering for the Total War Phase After the Blue Wave Hits

“Crusin’ for a brusin’.

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The chart has several interesting features:

  • 193 C-17 and C-5M arrivals over September 29–October 29, according to the accompanying Hunterbrook analysis.
  • Weekly totals of 23, 23, 22 and 40, followed by 18 arrivals during October 27–29.
  • Nine arrivals on October 29, the highest daily figure shown.

The important development is the apparent acceleration after several weeks of relatively steady activity.

But there’s a distinction worth making: the chart counts flight arrivals, not unique aircraft, and it combines directly tracked flights with arrivals identified through aircraft messages or inferred from flight tracks.

It establishes a reported increase in transport activity. It doesn’t establish what those aircraft carried or whether Washington has authorized another attack.

Independent flight records support the broader pattern

I couldn’t independently reproduce Hunterbrook’s exact 193-flight total, but I found corroborating aircraft records.

  • A C-5M heavy transport flew from Ramstein to Dubai on October 27.
  • A C-17 flew from Ramstein to Abu Dhabi on October 30.
  • Other C-17 records show continuing traffic through Ramstein toward the Mediterranean. Flightradar24

These are identifiable aircraft movements, not simply social-media assertions.

One numerical caution: the chart’s weekly totals are 23, 23, 22 and 40, but the final 18 covers only three days. That is roughly six arrivals daily, versus about 3.1 daily during the preceding three weeks. The acceleration appears meaningful, although we need comparable historical activity to judge how unusual it is.

What does it suggest?

I would now characterize the situation as a substantial logistical buildup consistent with preparing for a possible sustained military operation.

It could also support deterrence, defensive reinforcement or contingency planning. The aircraft movements alone cannot distinguish those purposes, and they don’t prove an attack is imminent.

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